Historical Method Using Bayes’ Theorem Explained by Example

Historical Method Using Bayes’ Theorem Explained by Example

History, Probability and Miracles, by Matthew Ferguson: Bayes’ Theorem is an historical method used by some rigorous historians to demonstrate the probability of their historical explanations and theories. Among them are some who work in biblical studies, ancient history, etc. Matthew Ferguson, currently a Ph.D. graduate student in Classics at the University of California, Irvine. whose research interests include ancient biography, Greek and Latin historiography, the New Testament, early Christianity, and the early Roman Empire, wrote in 2013 what for me is an excellent (i.e. understandable) explanation of Bayes’ Theorem. In this article from one of his blogs, Ferguson explains the theorem and applies it to biblical narratives about the resurrection of Jesus. h/t to Neil Godfrey‘s Vridar.org blog for pointing me in Ferguson’s direction.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s